Pregame Glance: Purdue 2, The Painter Strikes Back

Written February 18th, 2011 by Eric

Matt Painter is such an inviting fellow.

It doesn’t feel like it, but it has only been a couple of weeks since the Buckeyes soundly curb-stomped Purdue in Columbus.   Unfortunately, it’s already time for our return trip; the chance for Matt Painter’s team to try to redeem themselves in front of their home crowd.

As usual, since we’ve already looked at the team once, we’ll take the time to focus on what has happened since the last time we tangled with the Boilers.  For the most part, it’s been nothing but sunshine and daisies in West Lafayette.

Since that day, the day that might pay the Boilers back for Purdue-harbor, Purdue has played five games.  They went 4-1 in the stretch, including both of their games against Wisconsin and two road games: at Wisconsin and at Illinois.  Their one loss came exactly a week after they fell to the Buckeyes, losing to Wisconsin 66-59 at the Kohl Center.

Purdue got to pay the Badgers back, however, catching them Wednesday night with a 70-62 win at home.  That game was a close affair the whole way, with Wisconsin holding the lead through the first 10 minutes before letting it slip away.

That would be the last time they lead the whole game.  Despite that, they held pace and put themselves in a position to work the usual end-of-game comeback magic.  Unfortunately, sometimes that strategy only serves to make the spread worse, as it did here.


Purdue fans will quickly tell you that the Boilers have found a third ‘go-to’ guy on the roster. Junior guard Lewis Jackson, or “Lewjack” as he is known to the fans, can really turn his game on and score some points for the Boilers.  This is a great find for them, with the preseason loss of Hummel.  Even better, he has gone from a quiet consistency in the non-conference, to having some spectacular games when it matters most.

Unfortunately, Lewjack does tend to be very hot-and-cold in his play in conference games.  Observe his minutes and points in the chart below.  You can see that while he gets a sizable number of minutes, he’s not always consistent with his scoring.  Luckily for Purdue, their wins and losses are not tied to how well he plays implying that they don’t need him to be on to win.  He’s an added benefit of scoring depth to a great team.


College Basketball Stats


It’s worth noting, though, that his two most recent poor outings (January 25th and February 1st) were losses to Ohio State and Wisconsin.  If you include the dip before that, it was a one point win at home to Penn State.  Food for thought.

With Lewjack clearly on the rise the last couple of games, while E’Twaun Moore and Ja’Juan Johnson continue their solid play, this Purdue team is a lot more dangerous.  That’s not even counting their home court advantage.

Purdue GP MIN PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TPG FG% FT% 3P%
JaJuan Johnson 26 35.2 20.7 7.8 1 1 2.3 1.8 0.5 0.818 0.306
E’Twaun Moore 26 33.3 17.9 5.5 3 1.3 0.6 1.6 0.431 0.714 0.401
Lewis Jackson 26 25 7.6 3.2 3.8 0.7 0.1 1.9 0.544 0.72 0.5
Ryne Smith 26 23.2 6.3 2 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.481 0.87 0.462
D.J. Byrd 26 19.7 4.9 2.8 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.8 0.382 0.654 0.355
Ohio State GP MIN PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TPG FG% FT% 3P%
Jared Sullinger 26 31.4 17.8 10 1.4 1.1 0.5 1.5 0.564 0.701 0.273
William Buford 25 31.4 14.2 3.8 3.2 0.8 0.3 1.8 0.47 0.814 0.448
David Lighty 26 31.7 12.3 4 3.3 1.7 0.5 1.7 0.462 0.642 0.4
Jon Diebler 26 34.7 11.1 2.3 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.8 0.481 0.844 0.467
Dallas Lauderdale 26 17.4 4.6 3.6 0.2 0.1 1.7 0.7 0.709 0.348 0

At the moment, Ken Pomeroy is calling this game for the Buckeyes by one, 69-68, with a 51% chance for that result.  The last time his computers did that was the first Buckeye’s loss of the season. 

Considering where this game is being played, it’s going to take a concerted effort for the Buckeyes to pull out a victory in this one. If they can do it, however, it will go a long way in securing their spot in the discussion of the top team in the nation going into tournament play.

I can guarantee one thing about this game, the “Paint Crew”, if not the entire crowd, will be rocking for 40 minutes straight.  The atmosphere will be absolutely electric, as it usually is in Mackey for a big game.  I’m certain, though, that they’re going to have a little something extra for this one.

6 Comments

  1. MikeNo Gravatar
    February 18th, 2011 at 3:06 pm

    Boiler Up!

    [Reply]

    JimNo Gravatar
    February 19th, 2011 at 11:33 am

    TOOT! TOOT! it makes me laugh every time I hear it so more power to the boilermakers for doing it so much.

    [Reply]

  2. J-BirdNo Gravatar
    February 18th, 2011 at 3:54 pm

    Boiler Down! as in the Boilers are going down again

    [Reply]

  3. PauloNo Gravatar
    February 18th, 2011 at 10:39 pm

    Matta has consistently out-coached Painter. In the last game at Purdue, Hummel made 8 3-pointers before half-time, but Purdue could not withstand a simple full-court press (or stop Evan Turner from driving to the hole) to hold on to a lead. Painter and his team are a bunch of chokers and wither away in big games. OSU by 15+.

    [Reply]

    EricNo Gravatar
    February 18th, 2011 at 10:48 pm

    Wow, 15+? I’ve gotta admit, I love your confidence.

    If the Buckeyes pull out a 15+ victory at Mackey Arena on Sunday, I will be flabbergasted.

    Don’t forget that the Buckeyes also blew one to Matty’s boys in Columbus last season. Pretty certain Painter out-coached Matta in that one.

    [Reply]

  4. KenNo Gravatar
    February 19th, 2011 at 11:05 am

    Whoo, this is going to be a tough one tomorrow. Purdue seems to be playing better ball, actually really good ball, and a tough environment for visiting team.

    I’d be thrilled by Paulo’s prediction of +15 point win. I’ll take a 1-point win and get out of Dodge.

    [Reply]

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