2012 Tostitos Fiesta Bowl- Why Oklahoma State Will Win

Written January 1st, 2012 by MaliBuckeye

T. Boone- Actual Size

The Basics: Tuesday, January 2, 2012, 8:30 PM EST on ESPN, from Glendale. Oklahoma State (11-1, 8-1 Big Integer) and Stanford (11-1, 8-1 PAC12).

Well, our Midwestern correspondent checks in with one side of the debate… yeah, he’s biased. Be sure to check out the counterpoint a bit later this evening.

Since we have already watched the “Best Bowl game of the Season” once, let’s talk about the REAL best bowl game of the season:  Oklahoma State vs. Stanford.  As a Cowboy fan, it’s easy to get excited about this game.  The first BCS game in school history, following the first Big 12 championship in school history, which was won by clown-stomping our in-state rival (had to type that one more time).  Oklahoma State brings arguably their best team in school history to this game (at least in my lifetime).  Led by one of the best offensive tandems and an unfairly criticized defense, this team can beat anyone in the nation.  I was asked to give an Pickens-sided perspective so here goes…why one fan thinks OSU will win the Fiesta Bowl.

Everyone knows about the stars, Luck, Weeden, Blackmon, but where I think this game will be won or lost is where most games are won and lost, along the lines and on defense.  Oklahoma State has one of the best offensive line coaches in the nation in Joe Wickline.  Last year he took 5 new starters and turned them into the best performing line in the Big 12, which is saying a lot with the other linemen in the conference. This season, he added 2 other linemen to this mix and again has a dominating line.  This is why, in my opinion, OSU has one of the top offenses in the country.  It’s not surprising that the only hiccup this year was when the line had their worst game.  If the O-Line performs as it has for two seasons, I find it hard pressed that Stanford will be able to keep the Cowboys under 30.

This leads me to my next key of the game:  The Defense.  Much has been written about how bad (statistically) this side of the Cowboys team has been.  However, look at it this way:  They held 5 top 25 offenses below 30 points (3 of these games were on the road), and two potential top 10 draft picks (RG3 and Landry Jones) to 1 TD and 7 turnovers.  Now many will say neither of these players is Andrew Luck.  I’m sure they are not, but the Cowboys have fared just fine going up against top offenses all season.  Some will also say holding an offense to under 30 shouldn’t be highlighted.  Based on my first point, if Stanford doesn’t score 30, OSU wins, because I don’t believe Standford will hold the Cowboys under that number.  Nobody has done that all season, and I don’t see the Stanford Cardinal doing it either.

Finally, I look at Stanford’s loss, Oregon.  Not only did they lose, they lost BIG and at home.  I watched this game from start to finish and what stood out was how slow Stanford looked, again AT HOME.  Oklahoma State is very similar to Oregon…they spread you out, are crazy up-tempo, and then pass and run depending on how you line up.  Also, like the ducks, they are VERY fast at the skill positions.  I see more of the same happening to Stanford in this year’s version of the Party Bowl.

My prediction, Oklahoma State 41, Stanford 31.  Oh, for kicks and giggles, Alabama beats LSU 4-3 with a safety as time expires.  Now what do we have…3 one loss teams.  And I say the Oklahoma State Cowboys are the AP National Champion!  Hey, why not, because none of us buy into the BCS anyway.

2 Comments

  1. Ron BrattonNo Gravatar
    January 2nd, 2012 at 6:17 pm

    Dude I thought you had a relatively good blog until the very end when you said and I quote”alabama beat LSU 4-3……………..,,,,,,,,,..,,,and ucklahoma st are ap national champion! Are u talking the same team that for beat by the sec iquivalent of Kentucky. if Bama or lsu loses to Kentucky or Iowa st neither team would be playing for the bcs national championship game so get off it u can’t win championships by losing to the weakest conference foe on you your schedule. Agree or disagree ???????

    [Reply]

    MaliBuckeyeNo Gravatar
    January 2nd, 2012 at 7:15 pm

    Wow… keep reinforcing SEC fanbase stereotypes, Ron.

    [Reply]

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