Ohio State – Penn State Preview

Written January 25th, 2013 by Ken

School: Penn State University

Location: State College, PA

Founded: 1855

Student Population: 84,580 total, 75,253 undergrad

School Type: Public

Stadium: Bryce Jordan Center

Seating: 15,261

Opened: 1995

Head Coach: Patrick Chambers

Experience: 2nd year

The Ohio State Buckeyes travel to the too country-ish, according to some, State College PA to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions this Saturday for a noon tip-off. I’m not sure what to make of this game; it should be a fairly easy win for the Bucks, but road conference wins rarely are. As evidenced by Minnesota losing at Northwestern on Wednesday.

I’ll pull together a few stats, with commentary, and then on to Bryce Jordan Center. Information will be pulled from the excellent site at Statsheet. You’re familiar with the drill by now.

Penn State

The Nittany Lions (8-11, 0-7) are not a good team. PSU starts Jermaine Marshall (G, 6’4”), D.J. Newbill (G, 6’4”), Sasa Borovnjak (F,6’9”) , Nick Colella (G, 6’4”) and Brandon Taylor (F, 6’7”). The Nits are obviously missing Senior G Tim Frazier (16ppg) who suffered a season ending Achilles injury in mid-November. Starter stats, below.

  GP MPG PPG FG% FT% 3P% RPG APG TPG FPG
#2 D. Newbill 19 35.8 15.5 40.1 67.4 17.1 6.0 3.9 3.9 2.7
#11 J. Marshall 19 34.2 15.0 40.9 75.3 31.7 4.6 2.2 3.1 3.5
#20 N. Colella 19 23.8 3.6 31.9 62.5 32.3 2.4 0.8 0.7 2.3
#10 B. Taylor 19 22.5 6.4 36.7 71.4 33.8 3.8 0.3 1.3 3.1
#21 S. Borovnjak 19 21.4 5.5 50.0 64.9 0.0 3.4 0.4 0.8 3.0

Ohio State

The 14th ranked Buckeyes (14-4, 4-2) travel to State College for this one. We should be pretty familiar with the OSU starters by now, but for your reference Thad will go with the usual cast of characters. Aaron Craft (G, 6’2”), Lenzelle Smith, Jr. (G, 6’4”), DeShaun Thomas (F, 6’7”), Sam Thompson (F,6’7” and Amir Williams (C, 6’11”). Seeing significant playing time will be Shannon Scott (G, 6’1”), Evan Ravenal (C/F, 6’8”) and LaQuinton Ross (F, 6’8”). Key stats for starters below:

GP MPG PPG FG% FT% 3P% RPG APG TPG FPG
#1 D. Thomas 18 33.8 20.5 47.5 80.0 41.9 6.7 1.5 1.4 1.4
#4 A. Craft 18 31.8 8.9 38.5 81.6 32.0 3.2 4.7 1.8 2.4
#32 L. Smith Jr. 18 27.6 10.2 43.6 62.1 40.8 5.7 1.8 1.5 1.9
#12 S. Thompson 18 23.8 7.1 46.1 69.4 26.7 3.4 1.1 1.2 1.4
#23 A. Williams 18 15.8 4.3 63.4 52.1 0.0 3.8 0.2 0.8 2.4

The below table has the comparative Four Factors as well as possessions per game (PPP), points per possession – offense (PPP-O) and points allowed per possession (PPP-D).

   eFG%     TO%  Off Reb   FT Rate       PPG  PPP (O)  PPP (D)
Ohio State

52.2%

17.2%

34.1%

34.1%

66

1.11

0.88

Penn State

43.5%

20.4%

33.1%

38.2%

65

0.94

1.03

As the key metrics, and more importantly their record indicate, PSU is not very good this year, and the loss of Tim Frazier for the season has only compounded their shortcomings. This is a team that turns the ball over a lot (20% of their possessions), and when they don’t turn it over, don’t shoot very well (39%).

Ohio State needs to come out of the blocks fast against Penn State, since I imagine the home team will begin the game on an emotional high and try to take the game to OSU. Which makes sense, because this OSU team has some vulnerabilities. The Buckeyes need to improve their rebounding at both ends and do a much better job of protecting the ball. So, the Bucks need to withstand the initial 10-15 minutes of the game. If they can do that, and exert their superior talent, this game should functionally be over by midway through the 2nd half.

Not to get too far ahead of ourselves, but OSU’s next game is a home match against Wisconsin, so Saturday will be a good ‘lab experiment’ to get some fundamentals back on track.

Tip-off is on Saturday January 26th at 12:00 noon EST at the Bryce Jordan Center. Please join us for the live chat at 11:45AM. The game is televised on ESPN 2, in case you plan to watch. Do so.

Comment On Article

Optimization WordPress Plugins & Solutions by W3 EDGE
Optimization WordPress Plugins & Solutions by W3 EDGE