Monday Musings

Written February 25th, 2013 by Ken

Yessiree-bob, the start of another week. With coffee in hand, let’s get right to it.

Football

A bit of a slow week, but not entirely dormant. For instance, Charles has an article on rules changes that he’d like to see implemented. They concern ability to return onside kicks, number of coach’s challenges and ball placement for overtime. You should read his article, but really need to for my comments to make sense. Go ahead, I’ll wait….

I did a casual study (I was wearing jeans at the time) of Division 1-A overtime games in 2012, research source being ESPN game recaps. There were 33 games that went into overtime.  The game summary did not specify who actually won the overtime coin toss, so I assumed that in all instances, the coin toss winner chose to play defense in overtime. However, the following citation  from a paper by Brams & Sanderson makes me think that’s a pretty solid assumption:

Between 1996, when the present college overtime rule was adopted, until 2007, there were 328 overtime games. In only four games did the winner of the coin toss choose to play offense (Rosen and Wilson, 2007). The fact that 99% of the teams that win the coin toss elect to defend first is prima facie evidence that there is an advantage to doing so.

Back to the 2012 overtime games. Of the 33 games, 22 (67%) were won by the team that won the coin toss and elected to play defense. There were 13 losses incurred by the ‘first offense’ teams due to some sort of offensive malfunction; 7 by missed field goals, 4 by interceptions and 2 on loss of downs. I just quickly eyeballed these drive results, so your mileage may vary; however, it still represents the gist of the offensive failings. Since these teams also ran plays from scrimmage to get as close as possible before attempting the FG, having an initial spot at the 25 yard line is still not a bad idea.

Women’s Basketball

The team had one game this week, taking on Minnesota to wrap up Golden Gopher Week. After the dismal offensive performance against Nebraska, I wrote “Hopefully, a week’s worth of shoot arounds before the Minnesota game will cure their ills.”

Apparently their time was better spent doing something else. Ohio State shot 19% from the field in the first half. Seriously. The heart breaker, however, is that after Raven Ferguson’s 2nd 3-pt basket in a span of 6 seconds gave OSU the lead with 13 seconds remaining. The Gophers worked the ball down the floor and made the winning basket with 2 seconds remaining. Well, if it’s not one thing, it’s another.

Next game is tonight at 6:30, as the Buckeyes host the Spartans

Men’s Basketball

After getting mauled in Madison (49-71) on the 17th, the Buckeyes returned home to extend the favor to Minnesota (71-45). Minnesota is one of the worst 18-win teams I’ve seen. Of course OSU’s defense forced a lot of turnovers and allowed not a lot field goals.

MSU rolled into town Sunday afternoon and got rolled, due to a  very well played 2nd half by OSU, 68-60. Eric has all you need to know about how it turned out the way it did. Thad notched another 20 win season, his 10th. He’s also managed to work in three 30-win seasons. All he does is win..  Next game is against Northwestern at Evanston on the 28th.

Women’s Golf

The Buckeyes travel to NOLA for the All State Sugar Bowl Intercollegiate held in held Feb 24-26. Tulane will serve as host for the three-day tournament at the English Turn Golf and Country Club, which is set up as a par-72, 6,105 yard venue for the event. Good luck Buckeyes!

Since it is Monday, take it away Lindsey Buckingham.

So, what do you have in store for the week?

 

3 Comments

  1. CharlesNo Gravatar
    February 25th, 2013 at 9:11 pm

    Nice job Ken, happy to see somebody was inspired by my article to do some research. The number of turnovers on the initial drive in overtime were a bit smaller than I expected and I will admit that moving the ball back in overtime won’t make a big difference. Of my proposed changes the one that would have the biggest difference is the number of coaches challenges.

    [Reply]

    KenNo Gravatar
    February 26th, 2013 at 9:33 am

    Well, Charles, you do tend to put together topics that are interesting. I hadn’t really thought about overtime all that much until you’d mentioned it.

    I agree that the number of coaches challenges could be interesting to see play out. To be honest, I think the rule change you mentioned last week about hits-above-the-shoulder is really one to keep an eye on.

    [Reply]

    KenNo Gravatar
    February 26th, 2013 at 9:57 am

    Oh, one other item. At first, I was surprised that the turnovers were interceptions and not fumbles; with the ‘short field’, I’d assumed that teams would be running the ball quite a bit. Maybe the ‘short field’ contributed to the INT’s. With the events (missed FG’s, INT’s) I probably should have noted the down & distance, but didn’t.

    Interesting enough, two of the ‘go on offense first’ wins were pulled off by Ohio State (Purdue, Wisconsin). In neither game did passing help the losing team. Purdue was 0-4 passing, while Wisconsin was run (gain), incomplete, run (no gain), incomplete.

    [Reply]

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